TIP : Valencia Win First Half Time Odds 1,70

This tie is finely poised following on from the 1st Leg last week in the Canary Islands. Las Palmas looked to be on course for victory following a Jonathan Calleri goal but Rodrigo came off the bench to net a late leveller, which ensures Valencia going into the 2nd Leg as firm favourites to seal a Quarter Final place.

It’s a match that certainly promises to deliver goals. Las Palmas don’t really have a great deal to lose here and they have actually played better in this competition this term than during high pressure league games. Their most convincing display of the whole season was a 4-1 win at Depor in the last round but it’s just one win in 11 competitive games since then.

The latest setback came at the weekend as they blew an early lead to lose 2-1 at home to Eibar in Paco Jemez’s first league game in charge. He is the fourth man this season to lead Las Palmas and he does have a reputation as a very attack-minded coach, so it’s no surprise that both teams have scored in his two games in charge so far.

10 of Las Palmas’ last 15 matches in all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored in total. Rodrigo’s away goal means they know they need to score in this match to stand any chance of progressing but it’s very hard to see this Las Palmas defence holding firm at the other end.

They’ve conceded 2.22 goals per game this season in La Liga, the worst record in the Spanish top flight and up against a free-scoring Valencia side, that is clearly going to be a problem. Los Che aren’t in Europe so they can probably afford to take this competition more seriously than some sides at the top end of La Liga and their team selection last week certainly suggests they are going to do that.

One man who didn’t make the trip to Gran Canaria was their coach Marcelino following a serious car crash over Christmas. However he was back in the dugout at the weekend, as Valencia saw off Girona 2-1 at the Mestalla and will spearhead his side’s effort here. Valencia are still suffering a few problems at the back with injuries though so it could be a weakened back four again here. That half explains why they’ve gone eight games without a clean sheet heading into this one and it should encourage Las Palmas.

Given that, backing Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score looks good here. Valencia are having quite a season though and with Las Palmas dreadful defensively, going for Valencia & Both Teams to Score looks to offer value too.

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